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Published: August 14, 2024

State of the 2024 Race: Harris Momentum vs Trump Fundamentals

By The Editor

As we head towards the fall, there’s one word that is music to the ears of Kamala Harris: “Momentum.” The mainstream media has been harping on it for a couple of weeks, but it’s more than talk – it’s showing up in the numbers. 

A recent New York Times/Sienna Poll shows Harris leading Donald Trump by four points in each of the three key rust belt swing states: Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. If she wins all three, she’ll win the presidency. The head pollster at Rasmussen Reports warns against reading too much into swing state polls. 

“Swing states do tend to be messier than national polls because there’s smaller sample available,” Mark Mitchell tells CBN News. “Generally, the polls are smaller. You layer that on top of how you could shift weightings around. You can play some tricks. You can kind of make those look like whatever you want.” 

Still, with Joe Biden gone and Harris drawing big crowds and better numbers as the Democrats’ presidential nominee, the race has clearly changed. Tim Murtaugh, who served as Trump’s Communication Director in 2020 and wrote the book, Swing Hard in Case You Hit It: My Escape from Addiction and Shot at Redemption

The remainder of this article is available in its entirety at CBN


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